Geopolitics Alpha

Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • “Energy affects the price of everything we do and everything we buy,” EJ Antoni explained.
  • Exposed: ITA, XAR, USO, BWET, XOM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says

“Energy affects the price of everything we do and everything we buy,” EJ Antoni explained.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+3.4% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-1.4% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+4.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+11.8% 17d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA+0.24%+2.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XAR+2.54%+4.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO-2.03%-2.82%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET-5.09%-10.82%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM-3.42%-2.31%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-4.09%-2.99%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
OXYPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP-5.48%-3.22%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says NewsNation

Source: NewsNation

Price since this story was published: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier-10.82%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-5.09%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier-3.22%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier-5.48%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.99%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-4.09%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier+2.49%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+0.24%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.82%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-2.03%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier+4.02%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier+2.54%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.31%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-3.42%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) on one side of this defense story

Companies tied to this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Nov 2026 story “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    For “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is the company in “Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says,” the 15 Nov 2026 Defense story.

For IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), the reason on file says iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XAR): SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

What this defense story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04.

How strong the case is around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Iran War ‘energy shock’ keeping inflation running hot, economist says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.