Geopolitics Alpha

Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says

Published . Updated .

ENERGYIran War Threatens Record AnnualDrop in Global LNG Supply, IEASaysGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about natural gas and defense. Names like OXY and XOM typically gain because occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-11.6% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • LNG Cheniere Energy+20.1% 30d

    Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • EQT Eqt+4.2% 30d

    Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “iran + crude” in this story

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “crude + prices” in this story

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
UNG+6.94%+1.94%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA-3.96%-0.11%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO+4.37%+7.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LNG-3.81%+2.35%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EQT+2.63%-0.55%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says WSJ

Source: The Wall Street Journal

The price since 3 Nov 2026: United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthree days earlier+1.58%final price
CVXfive days earlier+0.19%final price
Eqt (EQT)three days earlier-0.55%final price
Eqt (EQT)five days earlier+2.63%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.11%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-3.96%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)three days earlier+2.35%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)five days earlier-3.81%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier+1.94%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier+6.94%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) on one side of this energy story

The side that tends to collect

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    For “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “iran + war” in this story

No up or down call on file

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says.” Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) and the energy link

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is the company in “Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says,” the 3 Nov 2026 Energy story.

The link for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is this: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) price range

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 209.72. UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.08. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

A simple score for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

46 out of 100

“Iran War Threatens Record Annual Drop in Global LNG Supply, IEA Says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.