Geopolitics Alpha

Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, ITA, IYT, XOM
  • Market reaction: USO +0.2% on the day (still updating); XLE −0.2% on the day (still updating); COP −1.3% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYIran War Triples Logistics Costsfor Oil Services FirmsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and defense. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • IYT iShares U.S. Transportation ETF

    iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it holds transport and logistics firms. Linked by “logistics” (transport and logistics) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+3.3% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.6% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%base+0.18%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.17%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-3.96%-0.11%base+1.23%after closeafter closeafter close
IYT-1.11%-1.81%base-0.13%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-0.93%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-0.68%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%base-1.33%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%base-0.59%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

Source: Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.33%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.68%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day+1.23%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.11%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-3.96%final price
Ishares Tr (IYT)that day-0.13%still updating
Ishares Tr (IYT)three days earlier-1.81%final price
Ishares Tr (IYT)five days earlier-1.11%final price
SHELthat day-0.59%still updating
SHELthree days earlier+2.59%final price
SHELfive days earlier-0.17%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+0.18%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.17%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.93%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    In “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • IYT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IYT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it holds transport and logistics firms. Linked by “logistics” (transport and logistics) in this story

How “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 3 Nov 2026, “Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.70. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Iran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.