Iran War Upends IEA’s Oil Market Outlook as Global Supply and Demand to Contract in 2026
Published . Updated .
This report is about Iran and Energy. Names like USO and XLE typically gain because oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk. Linked by “iran + oil” in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d
Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk. Linked by “iran + oil” in this story
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d
Energy companies move with Iran supply risk. Linked by “iran + oil” in this story
- LMT Lockheed Martin+14.2% 30d
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises. Linked by “iran + oil” in this story
- XOM Exxon Mobil+11.0% 11d
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “iran + oil” in this story
- CVX Chevron+9.9% 30d
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+3.8% 18d
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| LMT | -9.31% | -8.71% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| OXYNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Iran War Upends IEA’s Oil Market Outlook as Global Supply and Demand to Contract in 2026 EnergyNow.com
Source: EnergyNow.com
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | three days earlier | -8.71% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -9.31% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 85 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Iran War Upends IEA’s Oil Market Outlook as Global Supply and Demand to Contract in 2026” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.