Geopolitics Alpha

Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, ITA, BWET, TUR
  • Market reaction: XLE −4.5% by the next session (still updating); USO −1.6% by the next session (still updating); BWET −18.9% by the next session (still updating)

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

ENERGYIraq boosts Turkey oil exports,signs West Qurna-2 deal withChevron amid warCVXGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and defense. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iraq” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • TUR iShares MSCI Turkey ETF-19.3% 30d

    iShares MSCI Turkey ETF holds stocks listed in Turkey, which this story is about (“turkey”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.6% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-1.10%-3.77%after closeafter close
USO+4.37%+7.30%base+0.90%-1.64%after closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.83%-4.53%after closeafter close
ITA-3.96%-0.11%base+0.81%-0.36%after closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%base-7.81%-18.87%after closeafter close
TUR+2.24%+1.82%base+0.00%+4.15%after closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-1.26%-4.04%after closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%base-1.67%-4.88%after closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%base-0.70%-1.33%after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war The Jerusalem Post

Source: The Jerusalem Post

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-7.81%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-18.87%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.67%final price
Conocophillips (COP)the next day-4.88%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.10%final price
Chevron (CVX)the next day-3.77%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day+0.81%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)the next day-0.36%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.11%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-3.96%final price
SHELthat day-0.70%final price
SHELthe next day-1.33%still updating
SHELthree days earlier+2.59%final price
SHELfive days earlier-0.17%final price
Ishares (TUR)that day0.00%final price
Ishares (TUR)the next day+4.15%still updating
Ishares (TUR)three days earlier+1.82%final price
Ishares (TUR)five days earlier+2.24%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+0.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-1.64%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.83%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-4.53%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-1.26%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)the next day-4.04%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iraq” (tanker shipping) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

The 3 Nov 2026 story “Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100Price not final

“Iraq boosts Turkey oil exports, signs West Qurna-2 deal with Chevron amid war” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.