Geopolitics Alpha

Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd

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Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd

Iraq has increased crude oil exports through Turkey's Ceyhan port to 500,000 barrels per day by transporting southern crude north to bypass shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “port” (container shipping) in this story.

  • TUR iShares MSCI Turkey ETF-21.7% 30d

    iShares MSCI Turkey ETF holds stocks listed in Turkey, which this story is about (“turkey”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
TURNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————
OXY+0.13%-1.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

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Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

Source: Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

What happened to United States Oil Fund (USO) the last 17 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news

Across 17 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged -3.69%. The largest gain was -3.69% and the largest drop was -3.69%, from 17 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-3.69%-3.69%-3.69%17
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-1.37%-1.37%-1.37%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-1.51%-1.51%-1.51%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.87%-0.87%-0.87%17

United States Oil Fund (USO) since “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd,” compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
OXYthree days earlier-1.75%final price
OXYfive days earlier+0.13%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Strait of Hormuz, seven days against thirty

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 177 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 468 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • TUR Ishares

    Ishares (TUR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Turkey ETF holds stocks listed in Turkey, which this story is about (“turkey”)

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    For “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How “Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd” (2 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Strait of Hormuz.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Iraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.