Is SoftBank (TSE:9434) Fully Priced After Its 90% Five Year Run?
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SoftBank has ridden the broader enthusiasm around AI, robotics and connectivity, and after a 5 year return close to 90% the real question for you is whether the current share price can be explained by the cash flows the business is expected to produce. Over roughly 5 years the
Directly affected
- SFTBY SoftBank Group (TYO: 9984)
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF-6.1% 11d
Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF+0.5% 12d
iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“tse”).
- MSFT Microsoft+1.1% 30d
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- GOOGL Alphabet-15.7% 30d
Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- AMZN Amazon.com+6.4% 30d
Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- META Meta Platforms-14.4% 30d
Meta Platforms (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFTBYNon-US listing (OTC); price checks may stay empty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| QQQPrices arriving within minutes | — | — | — | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AIQPrices arriving within minutes | — | — | — | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| EWJ | -0.31% | +0.39% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MSFTPrices arriving within minutes | — | — | — | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GOOGLPrices arriving within minutes | — | — | — | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AMZNPrices arriving within minutes | — | — | — | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| METAPrices arriving within minutes | — | — | — | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Is SoftBank (TSE:9434) Fully Priced After Its 90% Five Year Run? Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWJ | three days earlier | +0.39% | final price |
| EWJ | five days earlier | -0.31% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Shelley M Capito sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 21 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 4 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 2 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Sep 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 18 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Amazon Com (AMZN), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Oct 2026. That is 18 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 78 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Meta Platforms (META) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Shelley M Capito sold Meta Platforms (META) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 21 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 4 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Meta Platforms (META), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Oct 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 10 Nov 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“Is SoftBank (TSE:9434) Fully Priced After Its 90% Five Year Run?” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.