Geopolitics Alpha

Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Japan GDP Q3 2026 preview: due 08:50 JST on 16 November, forecast +0.1% QoQ after +0.4%.
  • Exposed: EWJ, FXY, BWX, EFA, MUFG
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook

Japan GDP Q3 2026 preview: due 08:50 JST on 16 November, forecast +0.1% QoQ after +0.4%. Forecasts, components, BoJ odds and USD/JPY levels.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF+0.5% 12d

    iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“japan”).

  • FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust-1.1% 17d

    Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust follows the Japanese yen, whose moves this story covers.

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Japan

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-0.7% 6d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Japan

  • MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group

    Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (commercial banks) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares.

  • TM Toyota Motor+4.4% 17d

    Toyota Motor (motor vehicles and passenger car bodies) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares.

  • SONY Sony Group+9.9% 30d

    Sony Group (household audio and video equipment) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares.

  • MFG Mizuho Financial Group-13.0% 30d

    Mizuho Financial Group (national commercial banks) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
EWJ-0.31%+0.39%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FXY+1.19%-0.09%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWX+2.40%+0.88%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EFA+0.77%+0.44%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MUFG-0.64%+0.41%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TM+2.91%+0.32%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SONY-0.07%-2.14%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MFG-5.07%-1.93%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook Admirals

Source: Admirals

Ishares (EWJ) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)three days earlier+0.88%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)five days earlier+2.40%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)five days earlier+0.77%final price
Ishares (EWJ)three days earlier+0.39%final price
Ishares (EWJ)five days earlier-0.31%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)three days earlier-0.09%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)five days earlier+1.19%final price
Mizuho Financial Group (MFG)three days earlier-1.93%final price
Mizuho Financial Group (MFG)five days earlier-5.07%final price
Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group (MUFG)three days earlier+0.41%final price
Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group (MUFG)five days earlier-0.64%final price
Sony Group (SONY)three days earlier-2.14%final price
Sony Group (SONY)five days earlier-0.07%final price
Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM)three days earlier+0.32%final price
Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM)five days earlier+2.91%final price

Congressional trades in Ishares (EWJ) around 15 Nov 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook”

Companies mentioned with this story

  • EWJ Ishares

    Ishares (EWJ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Nov 2026 story “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“japan”)

  • FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust

    For “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust follows the Japanese yen, whose moves this story covers

  • BWX Spdr Series Trust

    In “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Japan

  • EFA Ishares Tr

    In “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Japan

  • MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group

    For “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group (MUFG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (commercial banks) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares

  • TM Toyota Motor Corp/

    For “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Toyota Motor (motor vehicles and passenger car bodies) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares

  • SONY Sony Group

    In “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Sony Group (SONY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Sony Group (household audio and video equipment) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares

  • MFG Mizuho Financial Group

    For “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook,” Mizuho Financial Group (MFG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Mizuho Financial Group (national commercial banks) is one of the largest Japan-based companies traded in the US, so news about Japan (“japan”) reaches its shares

How “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook” reaches Ishares (EWJ)

On 15 Nov 2026, “Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook” is the story that connects Ishares (EWJ) to this story.

Ishares (EWJ) is on the page because iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“japan”)

Also listed, Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY): Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust follows the Japanese yen, whose moves this story covers

Dates and price levels for Ishares (EWJ)

EWJ traded between 96.91 and 99.98 across 8 sessions. The latest close on file is 97.33. FXY traded between 57.26 and 58.58 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 57.30.

How strong the case is around Ishares (EWJ)

46 out of 100

“Japan GDP Q3 2026 Preview: Forecast, Yen and BoJ Outlook” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.