JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover
Published . Updated .
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This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- FRO Frontline+10.3% 30d
Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- DHT DHT Holdings
DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- INSW International Seaways-4.8% 13d
International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPM | -2.45% | -3.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +15.71% | +7.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +8.14% | +5.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWET | +32.30% | +28.62% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| FRO | +16.66% | +7.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +8.08% | +6.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHT | +13.74% | +8.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +6.66% | +5.01% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| INSW | +14.12% | +6.11% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover Egypt Oil & Gas
Source: Egypt Oil & Gas
How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 5 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | three days earlier | +28.62% | final price |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | five days earlier | +32.30% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +5.01% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +6.66% | final price |
| DHT | three days earlier | +8.20% | final price |
| DHT | five days earlier | +13.74% | final price |
| Frontline (FRO) | three days earlier | +7.37% | final price |
| Frontline (FRO) | five days earlier | +16.66% | final price |
| INSW | three days earlier | +6.11% | final price |
| INSW | five days earlier | +14.12% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -3.27% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -2.45% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.84% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +15.71% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +5.85% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +8.14% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +6.08% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +8.08% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 76 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
The Middle East count beside this story
Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover” is tagged to Middle East.
Who gains and who pays if Middle East stays in the story
Likely winners
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
From Middle East to United States Oil Fund (USO)
“JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover” (5 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Middle East.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
How solid the energy case looks
46 out of 100
“JPMorgan: Global Oil Market Returns to Surplus as Middle East Exports Recover” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.