Geopolitics Alpha

JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, XOM, CVX, COP
  • Market reaction: XLE −3.7% on the day (still updating); USO −2.5% on the day (still updating); COP −3.3% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYJPMorgan says rising exports, weakdemand push global oil market intosurplus By ReutersJPMGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.6% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
JPM+0.41%-0.26%base+2.93%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-2.52%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%base-3.73%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%base-2.82%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+1.76%+4.58%base-2.69%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+3.21%+6.66%base-3.27%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+0.85%+4.31%base-0.64%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters Investing.com

Source: Investing.com

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)that day-3.27%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+6.66%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+3.21%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-2.69%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+4.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+1.76%final price
JPMthat day+2.93%still updating
JPMthree days earlier-0.26%final price
JPMfive days earlier+0.41%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day-0.64%still updating
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+4.31%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+0.85%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-2.52%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-3.73%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-2.82%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters” (4 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70. XOM traded between 172.72 and 188.47 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 177.51.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“JPMorgan says rising exports, weak demand push global oil market into surplus By Reuters” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.