Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil
Published . Updated .
Cheaper Canadian oil could make an immediate difference and could start with no strings attached.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-1.5% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-11.6% 30d
United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- EWC iShares MSCI Canada ETF+0.3% 30d
iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canadian”).
- CAT Caterpillar-23.7% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere-1.3% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+14.9% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLI | -1.06% | +0.22% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | -3.55% | -1.68% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +4.37% | +7.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| UNG | +6.94% | +1.94% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| EWC | +0.39% | +1.16% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | +16.30% | +5.44% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -4.18% | -1.10% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | -6.59% | -5.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil Wadena Pioneer Journal
Source: Wadena Pioneer Journal
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 3 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar (CAT) | three days earlier | +5.44% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | five days earlier | +16.30% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | three days earlier | -1.10% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | five days earlier | -4.18% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) | three days earlier | +1.16% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) | five days earlier | +0.39% | final price |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | three days earlier | +1.94% | final price |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | five days earlier | +6.94% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.30% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +4.37% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | -5.06% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | -6.59% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | three days earlier | +0.22% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | five days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | -1.68% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | -3.55% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 39 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Companies in energy around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
Companies carried with this story
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund
In “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story
- EWC Ishares Msci Canada Etf
In “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil,” Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canadian”)
- CAT Caterpillar
For “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
In “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
How energy news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
The 3 Nov 2026 story “Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) because of Energy.
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is on the page because Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story
USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 167.42.
What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“Letter: Want cheaper gas? Take the tariffs off Canadian oil” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.