Geopolitics Alpha

Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”

Published . Updated .

Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”

Gambling, conventions and entertainment have for decades been a formidable driver of growth for the ‘Sin City’. The high cost of living has drastically reduced…

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR+0.2% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR+3.0% 30d

    Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds travel and leisure firms. Linked by “tourists” (travel) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cost of living” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-20.0% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-3.2% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+13.7% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+8.1% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLINo price data for this ticker———————
XRTNo price data for this ticker———————
XLYNo price data for this ticker———————
TIPNo price data for this ticker———————
CATNo price data for this ticker———————
DENo price data for this ticker———————
WMTNo price data for this ticker———————
NKE-2.04%-3.94%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore” la Repubblica

Source: la Repubblica

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 31 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Nike (NKE)three days earlier-3.94%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-2.04%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) on one side of this defense story

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds travel and leisure firms. Linked by “tourists” (travel) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    For “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • BKNG Booking Holdings

    Booking Holdings (BKNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”.” Reason on file: Booking Holdings (transportation services): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “tourists” (travel) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) and the defense link

The 31 Oct 2026 story “Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) because of Defense.

For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), the reason on file says Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 170.11. XLY traded between 110.58 and 116.77 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 116.18.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“Lights out in Las Vegas due to wars and tariffs: “Tourists aren’t coming anymore”” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.