Geopolitics Alpha

Lower inflation doesn’t mean lower prices - expert

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Lower inflation doesn’t mean lower prices - expert

A new IPSOS survey across 33 countries shows that people expect inflation to keep rising, with wars and global conflict pushing up living costs.

Directly affected

  • PPLI People

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+14.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX-2.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+5.1%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics-2.1%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond-1.8%

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond-0.9%

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense-6.7%

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing-10.5%

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris+2.0%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
PPLINo price data for this ticker———————
LMTNo price data for this ticker———————
RTXNo price data for this ticker———————
NOCNo price data for this ticker———————
GDNo price data for this ticker———————
TLT-2.31%-1.35%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
IEF-1.06%-0.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
BANo price data for this ticker———————
LHXNo price data for this ticker———————
HIINo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Lower inflation doesn’t mean lower prices - expert eNCA

Source: eNCA

This story

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthree days earlier+0.51%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.32%final price
GSthree days earlier+3.31%final price
GSfive days earlier0.00%final price
IEFthree days earlier-0.90%final price
IEFfive days earlier-1.06%final price
JPMthree days earlier+1.08%final price
JPMfive days earlier+0.58%final price
KREthree days earlier-2.55%final price
KREfive days earlier-4.40%final price
SHYthree days earlier-0.27%final price
SHYfive days earlier-0.24%final price
SPYthree days earlier+1.75%final price
SPYfive days earlier+0.89%final price
TLTthree days earlier-1.35%final price
TLTfive days earlier-2.31%final price
XLFthree days earlier+0.21%final price
XLFfive days earlier-1.49%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid “Lower inflation doesn’t mean lower prices - expert” looks

12 out of 100

“Lower inflation doesn’t mean lower prices - expert” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.