Geopolitics Alpha

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices pilled back amid some mediation hopes with US VP Vance reaching out to Iran's Rezaei in a bid to restart peace talks

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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices pilled back amid some mediation hopes with US VP Vance reaching out to Iran's Rezaei in a bid to restart peace talks

WTI/Brent: WTI Dec'26 -0.8% / Brent Jan'27 -0.5% Oil prices mildly retreated overnight amid some mediation hopes after reports that there has been a lot of…

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+14.2% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-2.52%-0.26%base+0.32%+1.30%after closeafter close
XLE-1.29%+1.72%base+0.37%+2.25%after closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.14%+1.35%base+0.18%+2.84%after closeafter close
CVX-1.18%+1.19%base+0.93%+2.77%after closeafter close
OXYNo price data for this ticker———————
COPNo price data for this ticker———————
FRO-7.71%-0.56%base+1.86%+2.38%after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices pilled back amid some mediation hopes with US VP Vance reaching out to Iran's Rezaei in a bid to restart peace talks Newsquawk

Source: Newsquawk

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+0.93%final price
CVXthe next day+2.77%final price
CVXthree days earlier+1.19%final price
CVXfive days earlier-1.18%final price
FROthat day+1.86%final price
FROthe next day+2.38%final price
FROthree days earlier-0.56%final price
FROfive days earlier-7.71%final price
USOthat day+0.32%final price
USOthe next day+1.30%final price
USOthree days earlier-0.26%final price
USOfive days earlier-2.52%final price
XLEthat day+0.37%final price
XLEthe next day+2.25%final price
XLEthree days earlier+1.72%final price
XLEfive days earlier-1.29%final price
XOMthat day+0.18%final price
XOMthe next day+2.84%final price
XOMthree days earlier+1.35%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.14%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices pilled back amid some mediation hopes with US VP Vance reaching out to Iran's Rezaei in a bid to restart peace talks” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.