[MARKET UPDATE] US equity futures begin higher and WTI crude pulls back following last Friday's oil rally, while there were mixed geopolitical headlines from over the weekend and participants await central bank decisions including a pause by the Fed
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and US interest rates. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+2.7% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+5.6% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.8% 12d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+6.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+12.1% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | -1.59% | -3.64% | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | +0.30% | -1.42% | after close | after close |
| TLTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | +0.41% | -1.33% | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.75% | -2.77% | base | -0.65% | -1.90% | after close | after close |
| COP | -3.70% | -3.40% | base | +0.31% | -1.90% | after close | after close |
| SHELNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BACNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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[MARKET UPDATE] US equity futures begin higher and WTI crude pulls back following last Friday's oil rally, while there were mixed geopolitical headlines from over the weekend and participants await central bank decisions including a pause…
Source: Newsquawk
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | that day | +0.31% | final price |
| COP | the next day | -1.90% | still updating |
| COP | three days earlier | -3.40% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -3.70% | final price |
| CVX | that day | -0.65% | final price |
| CVX | the next day | -1.90% | still updating |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.75% | final price |
| USO | that day | -1.59% | final price |
| USO | the next day | -3.64% | still updating |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| XLE | that day | +0.30% | final price |
| XLE | the next day | -1.42% | still updating |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XOM | that day | +0.41% | final price |
| XOM | the next day | -1.33% | still updating |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 87 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100Price not final
“[MARKET UPDATE] US equity futures begin higher and WTI crude pulls back following last Friday's oil rally, while there were mixed geopolitical headlines from over the weekend and participants await central bank decisions including a pause by the Fed” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.