Microsoft Earnings Preview: Polymarket Doubts a July-Size Surge - Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT)
Published . Updated .
This report is about exchanges and trading.
Directly affected
- MSFT Microsoft+7.1% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- IAI iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CME CME Group+12.1% 8d
CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- NDAQ Nasdaq+17.3% 30d
Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange+2.0% 30d
Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets+19.0% 30d
Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | +0.23% | -1.36% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IAINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CMENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NDAQ | -7.82% | -1.70% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ICENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CBOENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Microsoft Earnings Preview: Polymarket Doubts a July-Size Surge - Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Benzinga
Source: Benzinga
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | three days earlier | -1.36% | final price |
| MSFT | five days earlier | +0.23% | final price |
| NDAQ | three days earlier | -1.70% | final price |
| NDAQ | five days earlier | -7.82% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Sep 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli sold Microsoft (MSFT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Microsoft (MSFT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Cme Group (CME), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. April McClain Delaney sold Nasdaq (NDAQ) (held by a dependent child), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 9 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Richard Dean McCormick sold Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Jul 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 14 Aug 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. John Boozman sold Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 17 Aug 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“Microsoft Earnings Preview: Polymarket Doubts a July-Size Surge - Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT)” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.