Midterm Elections Could Set Up a 21% Stock Market Rally in 2027 - Here’s What 76 Years of History Show
Published . Updated .
Every midterm election since 1950 has set off the same chain reaction in the stock market, and with November approaching, Wall Street is quietly watching one of history's most stubborn patterns prepare to repeat itself or finally break.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF-1.7% 30d
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ+1.7% 18d
Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story.
- IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF-1.3% 30d
iShares Russell 2000 ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story.
- RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story.
- VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| QQQ | +0.56% | -2.36% | base | +0.17% | after close | after close | after close |
| IWMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RSPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VTINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Midterm Elections Could Set Up a 21% Stock Market Rally in 2027 - Here’s What 76 Years of History Show 24/7 Wall St.
Source: 24/7 Wall St.
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | that day | +0.17% | still updating |
| QQQ | three days earlier | -2.36% | final price |
| QQQ | five days earlier | +0.56% | final price |
This story
12 out of 100Price not final
“Midterm Elections Could Set Up a 21% Stock Market Rally in 2027 - Here’s What 76 Years of History Show” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.