Geopolitics Alpha

Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • A view of the U.S.
  • Exposed: SMH, SOXX, XLI, CAT, DE
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook

A view of the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Aug. 12, 2026. AJP Yoo Na-hyun.SEOUL, N...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF-20.8% 30d

    iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.6% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • AVGO Broadcom-6.5% 30d

    Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-0.8% 16d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
SMH+9.58%+0.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SOXX+12.28%+1.42%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLI-1.66%-2.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CAT+14.53%-0.17%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DE-3.81%+1.40%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
AVGO+5.97%-1.78%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
WMT-4.79%-1.04%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ASML+7.25%+0.88%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook Aju Press

Source: Aju Press

How far Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) has moved since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Asml Holding (ASML)three days earlier+0.88%final price
Asml Holding (ASML)five days earlier+7.25%final price
Broadcom (AVGO)three days earlier-1.78%final price
Broadcom (AVGO)five days earlier+5.97%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.17%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+14.53%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-3.81%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier+0.86%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier+9.58%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)three days earlier+1.42%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)five days earlier+12.28%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.04%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-1.66%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook.” Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story

  • SOXX Ishares Tr

    In “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook,” Ishares Tr (SOXX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    In “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • AVGO Broadcom

    Broadcom (AVGO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook.” Reason on file: Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • ASML Asml Holding

    In “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook,” Asml Holding (ASML) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook” names Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) because of this story.

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is on the page because VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (SOXX), is listed for a different reason: iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) price range

SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07. SOXX traded between 452.10 and 596.35 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 453.73. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

What the saved facts support for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

46 out of 100

“Midterm shock: Koreas markets swing on chip and tariff outlook” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.