Geopolitics Alpha

More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Oil rebounds slightly as ships continue coming under attack in the Persian Gulf after prices plunged following President Trump's midterm elections rebuke.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge

Oil rebounds slightly as ships continue coming under attack in the Persian Gulf after prices plunged following President Trump's midterm elections rebuke.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “gulf” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “gulf” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+5.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+3.9% 19d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+13.96%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+13.47%+8.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+38.94%+24.54%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
XOM+13.27%+7.37%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+10.62%+5.78%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+13.68%+6.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+8.57%+4.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge CBS News

Source: CBS News

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 14 energy shocks

Those 14 earlier stories put United States Oil Fund (USO) at an average move of -6.42% the next day. Largest gain -6.32%, largest drop -7.20%, from 14 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-6.42%-6.32%-7.20%14
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-12.38%-12.25%-13.51%10
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-5.17%-2.12%-6.96%11
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-10.81%-7.58%-11.35%7
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-12.14%-2.78%-22.25%13
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-27.67%-24.41%-28.03%10
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)the next day-5.48%-1.85%-6.87%8
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days later-10.66%-7.47%-11.72%4

The price since 6 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+24.54%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+38.94%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+6.58%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+13.68%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+5.78%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+10.62%final price
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+4.08%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+8.57%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+13.96%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+8.12%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+13.47%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+7.37%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+13.27%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where this story sits: Persian Gulf

Persian Gulf

Geopolitics Alpha has 21 stories about Persian Gulf from the past 7 days and 62 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge” is tagged to Persian Gulf.

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    In “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge,” Frontline (FRO) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 6 Nov 2026, “More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Persian Gulf.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 145.42. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“More ships attacked in Persian Gulf, oil prices rebound slightly after post-midterm plunge” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.