Geopolitics Alpha

Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, XLRE, JPM, PLD
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAMortgage and refinance interestrates today, Tuesday, November 3,2026: Mortgage rates continue to…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates and real estate.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.6% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.8% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR+1.3% 30d

    Real Estate Select Sector SPDR: it holds property and homebuilding stocks. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-4.3% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.1% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • PLD Prologis-5.8% 30d

    Prologis (real estate investment trusts): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+4.1% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story.

  • LEN Lennar+8.5% 30d

    Lennar (general bldg contractors - residential bldgs): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-0.10%-0.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
IEF-0.44%-0.28%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLRE-2.75%-1.34%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
JPM-1.44%+0.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BAC+2.23%+3.18%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
PLD-2.46%-1.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHI-3.87%-4.22%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LEN-7.11%-6.11%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TLT)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier+3.18%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+2.23%final price
Horton D R (DHI)three days earlier-4.22%final price
Horton D R (DHI)five days earlier-3.87%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier-0.28%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.44%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier+0.85%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.44%final price
Lennar (LEN)three days earlier-6.11%final price
Lennar (LEN)five days earlier-7.11%final price
Prologis (PLD)three days earlier-1.27%final price
Prologis (PLD)five days earlier-2.46%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier-0.30%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-0.10%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLRE)three days earlier-1.34%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLRE)five days earlier-2.75%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    For “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • XLRE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Real Estate Select Sector SPDR: it holds property and homebuilding stocks. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • PLD Prologis

    In “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” Prologis (PLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Prologis (real estate investment trusts): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • DHI Horton D R

    In “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story

  • LEN Lennar

    In “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” Lennar (LEN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Lennar (general bldg contractors - residential bldgs): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day,” the 3 Nov 2026 this story story.

Ishares Tr (TLT) is on the page because iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story

IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLRE traded between 40.28 and 43.44 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 43.16.

How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100

“Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026: Mortgage rates continue to move lower ahead of election day” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.