Geopolitics Alpha

MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Q3 sales rose 6% and diluted EPS reached $12.29; 9M organic local-currency sales grew 4%.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, CAT, DE, WMT
  • Market reaction: XRT −0.3% on the day (still updating); XLI +0.2% on the day (still updating); WMT −2.1% on the day (still updating)

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MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty

Q3 sales rose 6% and diluted EPS reached $12.29; 9M organic local-currency sales grew 4%. Results included a net tariff-refund benefit, while Chinese Operations led Q3 segment growth and geopolitical and tariff uncertainty remained.Original document: Mettler-Toledo

Directly affected

  • MTD Mettler Toledo International Inc/+13.7% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF-5.1% 30d

    iShares China Large-Cap ETF holds stocks listed in China, which this story is about (“chinese”).

  • CEW WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund

    WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund holds emerging-market currencies, which move on news like this from China.

  • CAT Caterpillar-26.6% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-1.1% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+6.7% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
MTDNo price data for this ticker———————
XLI+3.03%+5.45%base+0.22%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-2.55%-2.49%base-0.31%after closeafter closeafter close
FXINo price data for this ticker———————
CEWNo price data for this ticker———————
CAT+12.53%+12.71%base+1.24%after closeafter closeafter close
DE+1.76%+0.35%base+1.07%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-3.29%-2.27%base-2.09%after closeafter closeafter close
NKE-2.20%-2.74%base-1.59%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty TradingView

Source: TradingView

How far Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) has moved since 6 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+1.24%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier+12.71%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+12.53%final price
Deere (DE)that day+1.07%still updating
Deere (DE)three days earlier+0.35%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier+1.76%final price
Nike (NKE)that day-1.59%still updating
Nike (NKE)three days earlier-2.74%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-2.20%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-2.09%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-2.27%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-3.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day+0.22%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier+5.45%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier+3.03%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day-0.31%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-2.49%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-2.55%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    In “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

The 6 Nov 2026 story “MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) because of this story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story

CAT traded between 582.60 and 821.60 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 591.16. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100Price not final

“MTD: Q3 growth and higher EPS benefited from a one-time tariff refund amid continued uncertainty” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.