Geopolitics Alpha

Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Murphy Oil and Ratio Energies won six Israeli gas licenses 25 km from Leviathan, replacing Eni as the Iran war keeps Hormuz shipping at risk.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, UNG, BWET, EIS
  • Market reaction: USO −3.9% on the day; XLE +0.6% on the day; BWET −13.6% on the day

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Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan

Murphy Oil and Ratio Energies won six Israeli gas licenses 25 km from Leviathan, replacing Eni as the Iran war keeps Hormuz shipping at risk.

Directly affected

  • MUR Murphy Oil

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “shipping” (container shipping) in this story.

  • EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF

    iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • EQT Eqt

    Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
MUR+11.57%-0.06%base-4.03%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.62%-2.06%base-3.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%base+0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
UNG-3.53%-0.64%base+8.24%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.08%+5.02%base-13.59%after closeafter closeafter close
EIS+3.35%+0.97%base+2.40%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%base-0.67%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+7.15%+2.05%base-1.18%after closeafter closeafter close
EQT+11.04%+6.35%base+0.98%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

Source: Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 17 energy shocks

Across 17 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged -6.13%. The largest gain was -3.69% and the largest drop was -6.32%, from 14 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-6.13%-3.69%-6.32%14
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-11.47%-1.37%-12.25%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-4.35%-1.51%-4.71%9
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-10.24%-0.87%-11.87%9
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)the next day+0.44%+0.44%+0.44%1
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days later+1.98%+1.98%+1.98%1
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-10.37%-10.37%-10.37%16
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-28.03%-28.03%-28.03%16

United States Oil Fund (USO) since “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan,” compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-13.59%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+5.02%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.08%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.05%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+7.15%final price
Ishares (EIS)that day+2.40%final price
Ishares (EIS)three days earlier+0.97%final price
Ishares (EIS)five days earlier+3.35%final price
Eqt (EQT)that day+0.98%final price
Eqt (EQT)three days earlier+6.35%final price
Eqt (EQT)five days earlier+11.04%final price
MURthat day-4.03%final price
MURthree days earlier-0.06%final price
MURfive days earlier+11.57%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)that day+8.24%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-0.64%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-3.53%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-3.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.67%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where this story sits: Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 173 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 649 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who pays if Strait of Hormuz stays in the story

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    For “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • EIS Ishares

    For “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan,” Ishares (EIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”)

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    For “Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan,” Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan” (9 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Strait of Hormuz.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.34. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Murphy Oil Bets on Israeli Gas Near Leviathan” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.