Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
This report is about oil and natural gas. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-16.0% 30d
United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “natural gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- EQT Eqt+7.8% 30d
Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “natural gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- LNG Cheniere Energy+13.7% 30d
Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “natural gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d
Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +15.71% | +7.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +8.14% | +5.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| UNG | -1.02% | -2.91% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWET | +32.30% | +28.62% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +8.08% | +6.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| EQT | +3.85% | +4.42% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| LNG | +9.22% | +6.72% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | +9.89% | +5.90% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17? FXEmpire
Source: FXEmpire
How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 5 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | three days earlier | +28.62% | final price |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | five days earlier | +32.30% | final price |
| Eqt (EQT) | three days earlier | +4.42% | final price |
| Eqt (EQT) | five days earlier | +3.85% | final price |
| Cheniere Energy (LNG) | three days earlier | +6.72% | final price |
| Cheniere Energy (LNG) | five days earlier | +9.22% | final price |
| Occidental Petroleum (OXY) | three days earlier | +5.90% | final price |
| Occidental Petroleum (OXY) | five days earlier | +9.89% | final price |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | three days earlier | -2.91% | final price |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | five days earlier | -1.02% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.84% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +15.71% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +5.85% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +8.14% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +6.08% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +8.08% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Eqt (EQT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Eqt (EQT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Eqt (EQT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Aug 2026. That is 83 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 76 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
The side that tends to collect
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund
For “Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “natural gas” (natural gas) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
In “Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
“Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?” (5 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.12. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Gulf Supply Recovers, Can WTI Hold $85.17?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.