Geopolitics Alpha

Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Trump Keeps Iran Blockade, Can Brent Clear $98.75?

Published . Updated .

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ENERGYNatural Gas and Oil Forecast:Trump Keeps Iran Blockade, CanBrent Clear $98.75?GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and natural gas. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “natural gas” (natural gas) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • EQT Eqt

    Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “natural gas” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+1.59%-3.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-4.15%-3.23%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UNG-10.79%-0.62%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+16.99%-9.44%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM-2.28%-3.14%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.78%-2.44%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
OXY-3.42%-2.60%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EQT-5.70%-0.70%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Trump Keeps Iran Blockade, Can Brent Clear $98.75? FXEmpire

Source: FXEmpire

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BWETthree days earlier-9.44%final price
BWETfive days earlier+16.99%final price
CVXthree days earlier-2.44%final price
CVXfive days earlier-1.78%final price
EQTthree days earlier-0.70%final price
EQTfive days earlier-5.70%final price
OXYthree days earlier-2.60%final price
OXYfive days earlier-3.42%final price
UNGthree days earlier-0.62%final price
UNGfive days earlier-10.79%final price
USOthree days earlier-3.20%final price
USOfive days earlier+1.59%final price
XLEthree days earlier-3.23%final price
XLEfive days earlier-4.15%final price
XOMthree days earlier-3.14%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.28%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Trump Keeps Iran Blockade, Can Brent Clear $98.75?” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.