New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%)
Published . Updated .
This report is about US interest rates.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-1.7% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+5.1% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -0.18% | +0.20% | base | +0.45% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.21% | -0.16% | base | +0.56% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | -3.51% | -2.27% | base | -1.88% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -1.15% | -0.92% | base | -2.21% | after close | after close | after close |
| DHI | +0.66% | +0.37% | base | -0.31% | after close | after close | after close |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%) Newsquawk
Source: Newsquawk
The price since 30 Oct 2026: Ishares Tr (TLT) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | -2.21% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -1.15% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | that day | -0.31% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | three days earlier | +0.37% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | five days earlier | +0.66% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.56% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.16% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.21% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | -1.88% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | -2.27% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | -3.51% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | +0.45% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | +0.20% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -0.18% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who is named in “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%)”
Companies mentioned with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%).” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
In “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%),” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%),” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%).” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
In “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%),” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%).” Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
How “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%)” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)
Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%),” the 30 Oct 2026 this story story.
Ishares Tr (TLT) is on the page because iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (TLT) price range
IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. JPM traded between 325.12 and 345.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 343.55. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
How solid “New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%)” looks
46 out of 100
“New York Fed GDP Nowcast Q4 2026: 2.9% (prev. 2.8%)” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.