No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and tanker shipping.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- UAE iShares MSCI UAE ETF
iShares MSCI UAE ETF holds stocks listed in the UAE, which this story is about (“uae”).
- FRO Frontline+14.2% 30d
Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- DHT DHT Holdings
DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -1.54% | -1.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -0.51% | -2.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UAENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FRO | -2.94% | -2.39% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -1.45% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHT | -1.70% | -2.24% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -1.54% | -2.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says EnergyNow.com
Source: EnergyNow.com
How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved across the last 18 energy stories
United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day, across 18 earlier stories: average +0.54%, largest gain +6.10%, largest drop -3.69%, from 18 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | the next day | +0.54% | +6.10% | -3.69% | 18 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days later | +1.14% | +4.59% | -1.37% | 18 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | the next day | +1.00% | +2.88% | -1.51% | 18 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days later | +0.35% | +1.30% | -0.87% | 18 |
- Gold heads for steep weekly loss as Hormuz tensions lift crude toward five-month highs - Kitco AM Report
- Oil spill hits UAE beaches as tanker attacks multiply near Hormuz
- South Korean Shipowner Sinokor Dominates Hormuz Transits as Oil Flows Rebound
- Physical Oil Prices Drop in Mideast as Flows Via Hormuz Hold Up
- Iran Warns of Tougher Action as Hormuz Shipping Comes to a Halt
- Oil prices rise as Hormuz tensions, Libya supply risks heighten concerns
United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | -2.69% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| DHT | three days earlier | -2.24% | final price |
| DHT | five days earlier | -1.70% | final price |
| FRO | three days earlier | -2.39% | final price |
| FRO | five days earlier | -2.94% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -1.29% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | -2.20% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | -0.51% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | -1.45% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 18 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 18 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 39 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How busy Strait of Hormuz has been lately
Geopolitics Alpha has 174 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 443 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.
Who gains and who pays if Strait of Hormuz stays in the story
Companies carried with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
- UAE Ishares Tr
In “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says,” Ishares Tr (UAE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI UAE ETF holds stocks listed in the UAE, which this story is about (“uae”)
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
In “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
In “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What Strait of Hormuz means for United States Oil Fund (USO)
The 1 Nov 2026 story “No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Strait of Hormuz.
For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.
How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“No Full Hormuz Flows Until First Half of 2027, UAE’s Oil Giant Says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.