Geopolitics Alpha

NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • High container volumes have led to backups at West Coast ports as cargo waits for rail cars.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, CAT, DE, WMT
  • Market reaction: XLI +4.2% on the day; XRT +3.7% on the day; CAT +7.1% on the day

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NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season

High container volumes have led to backups at West Coast ports as cargo waits for rail cars.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “container” (container shipping) in this story.

  • IYT iShares U.S. Transportation ETF

    iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “container” (container shipping) in this story.

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • CARZ First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF

    First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF: it holds carmakers and parts makers. Linked by “cars” (autos) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-31.9% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services-2.6% 30d

    ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “container” (container shipping) in this story.

  • DE Deere-2.2% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
BWET+35.08%+5.02%base-13.59%after closeafter closeafter close
IYT+2.62%+5.05%base+3.43%after closeafter closeafter close
XLI+4.34%+4.15%base+4.24%after closeafter closeafter close
CARZ+10.62%+10.62%base+2.92%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+9.84%+5.82%base+7.10%after closeafter closeafter close
ZIM+1.38%+2.00%base+2.61%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-0.85%+0.44%base+3.33%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT+1.78%+2.99%base+0.11%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season DC Velocity

Source: DC Velocity

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BWETthat day-13.59%final price
BWETthree days earlier+5.02%final price
BWETfive days earlier+35.08%final price
CARZthat day+2.92%final price
CARZthree days earlier+10.62%final price
CARZfive days earlier+10.62%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+7.10%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier+5.82%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+9.84%final price
Deere (DE)that day+3.33%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-0.85%final price
IYTthat day+3.43%final price
IYTthree days earlier+5.05%final price
IYTfive days earlier+2.62%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+0.11%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+2.99%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+1.78%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day+4.24%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier+4.15%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier+4.34%final price
ZIMthat day+2.61%final price
ZIMthree days earlier+2.00%final price
ZIMfive days earlier+1.38%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies carried with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season.” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

The 9 Nov 2026 story “NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) because of this story.

For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), the reason on file says Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CAT traded between 550.88 and 811.83 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 558.57. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“NRF: Import cargo still strong at end of tariff-extended peak season” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.