Geopolitics Alpha

Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • In April 2025, tariffs and China export curbs pulled Nvidia Corp.
  • Exposed: SMH, CAT, DE, WMT, NKE
  • Market reaction: CAT +7.1% on the day; SMH +5.1% on the day; NVDA −4.6% on the day

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Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout

In April 2025, tariffs and China export curbs pulled Nvidia Corp. NASDAQ:NVDA far below its long-term trend. Nineteen months later, the stock is back in that same territory, and this time the trigger is the company’s own chief executive.On Monday, the rest of the chip sector

Directly affected

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.4% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF-5.1% 30d

    iShares China Large-Cap ETF holds stocks listed in China, which this story is about (“china”).

  • NKE Nike+6.7% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • AAPL Apple+3.9% 30d

    Apple (electronic computers): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-31.9% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-2.2% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NVDA+8.30%+7.21%base-4.60%after closeafter closeafter close
XLI+4.34%+4.15%base+4.24%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT+1.17%+4.73%base+3.68%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH+9.57%+8.79%base+5.09%after closeafter closeafter close
FXI-4.96%-1.02%base-0.84%after closeafter closeafter close
NKE+1.40%+4.92%base+3.80%after closeafter closeafter close
AAPL-1.08%+2.09%base+2.37%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+9.84%+5.82%base+7.10%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-0.85%+0.44%base+3.33%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout TradingView

Source: TradingView

Price since this story was published: Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
AAPLthat day+2.37%final price
AAPLthree days earlier+2.09%final price
AAPLfive days earlier-1.08%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+7.10%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier+5.82%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+9.84%final price
Deere (DE)that day+3.33%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-0.85%final price
FXIthat day-0.84%final price
FXIthree days earlier-1.02%final price
FXIfive days earlier-4.96%final price
Nike (NKE)that day+3.80%final price
Nike (NKE)three days earlier+4.92%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier+1.40%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)that day-4.60%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)three days earlier+7.21%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)five days earlier+8.30%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)that day+5.09%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier+8.79%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier+9.57%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day+4.24%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier+4.15%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier+4.34%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day+3.68%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier+4.73%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier+1.17%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

Companies tied to this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    In “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NVDA Nvidia

    For “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Nvidia (NVDA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    For “Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

“Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout” (9 Nov 2026) reaches Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) through this story.

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is on the page because VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

Caterpillar (CAT) is here too. Its reason reads: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

The price range for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH), and the dates in the story

CAT traded between 550.88 and 811.83 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 558.57. DE traded between 619.47 and 686.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 672.00. SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07.

What the saved facts support for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

46 out of 100

“Nvidia Stock Trades at Widest Gap Versus 200-Day Average Since Trump's Tariffs Rout” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.