Geopolitics Alpha

Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

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  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, EWC, BWX
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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ENERGYOil-driven inflation risks: BoC’sMacklem signals further rate hikesGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

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Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.1% 30d

    SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust-8.0% 30d

    iShares Bitcoin Trust: it follows bitcoin. Linked by “crypto” (crypto) in this story.

  • EWC iShares MSCI Canada ETF+0.9% 30d

    iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“boc”).

  • FXC Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust+0.7% 9d

    Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust follows the Canadian dollar, whose moves this story covers.

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Canada

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-1.5% 9d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Canada

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
GLDNo price data for this ticker———————
IBITNo price data for this ticker———————
EWC+2.17%+0.68%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FXCNo price data for this ticker———————
BWX+0.16%+0.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EFA+0.59%+0.25%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes www.tmgm.com

Source: www.tmgm.com

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)three days earlier+0.49%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)five days earlier+0.16%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)three days earlier+0.25%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)five days earlier+0.59%final price
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)three days earlier+0.68%final price
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)five days earlier+2.17%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • EWC Ishares Msci Canada Etf

    For “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes,” Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“boc”)

  • BWX Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes.” Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Canada

  • EFA Ishares Tr

    For “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes,” Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Canada

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Oil-driven inflation risks: BoC’s Macklem signals further rate hikes” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.