Geopolitics Alpha

Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: Central Oregon Daily, The Lufkin Daily News.

Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war

By Alex Lawler LONDON, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Oil fell more than 4% on Monday as talks between Iranian and Qatari officials on a deal to end the US-Israeli war

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-1.2% 13d

    iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).

  • QAT iShares MSCI Qatar ETF

    iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“qatari”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%base-5.78%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%base-1.71%after closeafter closeafter close
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
EISNo price data for this ticker———————
QATNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%base-1.98%after closeafter closeafter close
CVXNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war Central Oregon Daily

Source: Central Oregon Daily

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-5.78%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-1.71%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-1.98%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war”

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war,” the 2 Nov 2026 Energy story.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 209.72. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100Price not final

“Oil drops more than 4% on talks aimed at ending US-Iran war” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.