Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • But Lipow warns that Iran may increase strikes and cause crude prices to rise anyway.
  • Exposed: COP, SHEL, FRO, CVX, XLE
  • Market reaction: COP +2.0% on the day; SHEL +0.7% on the day; BWET +5.3% on the day

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ENERGYOil Extends Losses As TrumpFocuses On Domestic Concerns, SaysDeal With Iran Not NeededGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

But Lipow warns that Iran may increase strikes and cause crude prices to rise anyway.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.5% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+2.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+6.5% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.74%+0.82%base+3.43%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.64%-2.21%base+1.50%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+23.15%+6.41%base+5.26%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-7.07%-2.20%base-2.16%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM-0.81%-1.14%base+1.84%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-0.13%-1.13%base+1.51%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY-1.40%-2.40%base+2.25%after closeafter closeafter close
COP-1.64%-2.34%base+1.97%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed Ship & Bunker

Source: Ship & Bunker

The price since 12 Nov 2026: Conocophillips (COP) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day+5.26%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+6.41%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+23.15%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day+1.97%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier-2.34%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier-1.64%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+1.51%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-1.13%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-0.13%final price
ITAthat day-2.16%final price
ITAthree days earlier-2.20%final price
ITAfive days earlier-7.07%final price
OXYthat day+2.25%final price
OXYthree days earlier-2.40%final price
OXYfive days earlier-1.40%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+3.43%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+0.82%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.74%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.50%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.21%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.84%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-1.14%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-0.81%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Conocophillips (COP)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    In “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed,” Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches Conocophillips (COP)

Conocophillips (COP) is the company in “Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed,” the 12 Nov 2026 Energy story.

For Conocophillips (COP), the reason on file says ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Shell (SHEL), is listed for a different reason: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

COP traded between 131.18 and 152.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 137.77. FRO traded between 47.51 and 59.74 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 48.49. SHEL traded between 94.35 and 96.95 across 5 sessions. The latest close on file is 96.51.

How strong the case is around Conocophillips (COP)

46 out of 100

“Oil Extends Losses As Trump Focuses On Domestic Concerns, Says Deal With Iran Not Needed” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.