Geopolitics Alpha

Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely'

Published . Updated .

Covered by 4 outlets: The Economic Times, Reuters, aol.com, marketscreener.com.

Who covered it: Center 2 · Not rated 2. How we rate outlets

Key takeaways

  • By Helen Clark PERTH, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell at Monday's open after US President Donald Trump said he was highly unlikely to order fresh attacks on Iran as long as talks to end the conflict
  • Exposed: XLE, BWET, ITA, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely'

By Helen Clark PERTH, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell at Monday's open after US President Donald Trump said he was highly unlikely to order fresh attacks on Iran as long as talks to end the conflict

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+3.0% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+6.9% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.62%-2.06%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.08%+5.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA+3.67%+2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+7.15%+2.05%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+7.74%+0.44%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely' The Economic Times

Source: The Economic Times

The price since 8 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+5.02%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.08%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+7.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.05%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+7.15%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier+2.77%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+3.67%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

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Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely”

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 8 Nov 2026 story “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely'.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely',” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 8 Nov 2026 story “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely'.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely',” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely',” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely',” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely',” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)

On 8 Nov 2026, “Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely'” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) to Energy.

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is on the page because Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is here too. Its reason reads: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)

69 out of 100

“Oil falls on open as Trump says fresh Iran attacks 'unlikely'” scores 69 out of 100. The score uses 4 sources, and 8 linked companies.