Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: USO −3.9% on the day; XLE +0.6% on the day; BWET −13.6% on the day

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ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZOil Falls on Unconfirmed ReportThat Iran Eased Hormuz DemandsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.62%-2.06%base-3.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%base+0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.08%+5.02%base-13.59%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%base-0.67%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+7.15%+2.05%base-1.18%after closeafter closeafter close
FRO+14.63%+6.76%base-2.51%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+7.74%+0.44%base-1.29%after closeafter closeafter close
DHT+15.43%+6.67%base-0.53%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

Earlier energy stories for United States Oil Fund (USO): 18 cases

Across 18 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged -6.14%. The largest gain was -3.69% and the largest drop was -6.32%, from 15 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-6.14%-3.69%-6.32%15
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-11.52%-1.37%-12.25%15
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-4.35%-1.51%-4.71%9
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-10.24%-0.87%-11.87%9
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-10.37%-10.37%-10.37%17
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-28.03%-28.03%-28.03%17
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)the next day-4.96%-1.64%-5.21%14
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days later-10.85%-0.44%-11.72%13

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 9 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-13.59%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+5.02%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.08%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.29%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+7.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.05%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+7.15%final price
DHTthat day-0.53%final price
DHTthree days earlier+6.67%final price
DHTfive days earlier+15.43%final price
Frontline (FRO)that day-2.51%final price
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier+6.76%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier+14.63%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-3.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.67%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where this story sits: Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 172 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 648 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who pays if Strait of Hormuz stays in the story

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

From Strait of Hormuz to United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 9 Nov 2026 story “Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Strait of Hormuz.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Oil Falls on Unconfirmed Report That Iran Eased Hormuz Demands” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.