Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: USO +0.2% on the day (still updating); XLE −0.2% on the day (still updating); BWET −7.8% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGY · MIDDLE EASTOil Futures Turn Lower as MarketHolds Out Hope for Middle EastDiplomacyGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+8.7% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • INSW International Seaways-3.9% 12d

    International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%base+0.18%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.17%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%base-7.81%after closeafter closeafter close
FRO+3.34%+8.65%base+0.63%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-0.93%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-0.68%after closeafter closeafter close
DHT+1.11%+5.11%base+0.44%after closeafter closeafter close
INSW+5.42%+7.55%base-0.52%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy WSJ

Source: The Wall Street Journal

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-7.81%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.68%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
DHTthat day+0.44%still updating
DHTthree days earlier+5.11%final price
DHTfive days earlier+1.11%final price
Frontline (FRO)that day+0.63%still updating
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier+8.65%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier+3.34%final price
INSWthat day-0.52%still updating
INSWthree days earlier+7.55%final price
INSWfive days earlier+5.42%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+0.18%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.17%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.93%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

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Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Middle East count beside this story

Middle East

Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy” is tagged to Middle East.

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    For “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 3 Nov 2026, “Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Middle East.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Oil Futures Turn Lower as Market Holds Out Hope for Middle East Diplomacy” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.