Geopolitics Alpha

Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity)

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Fed research finds a 10-point rise in relative oil-price inflation now adds 0.14 percentage point to core inflation, up from 0.01 pre-pandemic.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, TLT, TIP, XOM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity)

Fed research finds a 10-point rise in relative oil-price inflation now adds 0.14 percentage point to core inflation, up from 0.01 pre-pandemic.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.3% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+3.1% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+10.89%+3.88%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+7.65%-0.44%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TLT-1.07%-0.05%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.06%+0.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+7.73%+0.33%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+6.86%+1.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
JPM-1.14%-1.31%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BAC-1.83%-1.53%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity) Seeking Alpha

Source: Seeking Alpha

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 10 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthree days earlier-1.53%final price
BACfive days earlier-1.83%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.02%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+6.86%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-1.31%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.14%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.06%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier-0.05%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-1.07%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+3.88%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+10.89%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.44%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+7.65%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+0.33%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+7.73%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity).” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity),” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    For “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity),” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity),” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity).” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity).” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity).” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity),” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity)” (10 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Oil gets a louder voice in inflation, Fed research finds (CL1:COM:Commodity)” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.