Geopolitics Alpha

Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts

Published . Updated .

ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZOil hits six-month highs as Hormuzattacks threaten Iran peaceeffortsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+14.2% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COPNo price data for this ticker———————
FRO-2.94%-2.39%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts Investing.com

Source: Investing.com

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved across the last 18 energy stories

Those 18 earlier stories put United States Oil Fund (USO) at an average move of +4.01% the next day. Largest gain +6.10%, largest drop +2.68%, from 18 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+4.01%+6.10%+2.68%18
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+2.44%+2.58%+2.22%18
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+2.42%+2.88%+1.70%18
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+0.86%+1.30%+0.18%18

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
FROthree days earlier-2.39%final price
FROfive days earlier-2.94%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How busy Strait of Hormuz has been lately

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 161 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 421 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    For “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story

How a Strait of Hormuz shock reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts” (31 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Strait of Hormuz.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Oil hits six-month highs as Hormuz attacks threaten Iran peace efforts” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.