Geopolitics Alpha

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Oil is above $100, but the real danger may be what happens to diesel I had an interesting conversation with financial analyst David Lin about what oil markets are telling us as tensions with Iran rise again. Brent is trading around $107 a barrel, and I'm tr

Published . Updated .

ENERGY๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Oil is above $100, but thereal danger may be what happens todiesel I had an interestingโ€ฆGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about Tanker rates and Iran. Names like FRO and INSW typically gain because tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline+1.4%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways-1.4%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund+4.9%

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+3.8%

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping-2.2%

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • MATX Matson-5.7%

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-3.9%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • DAL Delta Air Lines-0.8%

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO+6.79%+12.33%base-0.13%-3.46%-4.23%-2.34%
INSW+5.96%+10.51%base-2.81%-7.38%-7.46%-1.59%
DHT+5.12%+13.35%base+0.64%-1.71%-0.34%+3.03%
TNK+9.47%+9.63%base-0.23%-2.41%-2.57%-1.21%
USO-5.77%-2.69%base+2.82%+2.25%+2.14%+1.55%
XLE-2.22%+0.95%base+2.53%+1.88%+2.11%+2.40%
ZIM+1.56%+3.10%base-1.07%-1.83%-1.30%-1.27%
MATX-4.66%-0.81%base-1.02%-2.34%+0.16%-0.89%
JPM-0.76%-1.20%base+1.23%-0.61%-0.07%-0.12%
DAL+5.24%+1.89%base-3.46%-4.40%-1.77%-0.50%

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Oil is above $100, but the real danger may be what happens to diesel I had an interesting conversation with financial analyst David Lin about what oil markets are telling us as tensions with Iran rise again. Brent is trading around $1โ€ฆ

Source: X

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day-0.88%final price
BACthe next day-2.50%final price
BACtwo days later-1.97%final price
BACthree days later-1.68%final price
BACthree days earlier+4.39%final price
BACfive days earlier+5.09%final price
DALthat day-3.46%final price
DALthe next day-4.40%final price
DALtwo days later-1.77%final price
DALthree days later-0.50%final price
DALthree days earlier+1.89%final price
DALfive days earlier+5.24%final price
DHTthat day+0.64%final price
DHTthe next day-1.71%final price
DHTtwo days later-0.34%final price
DHTthree days later+3.03%final price
DHTthree days earlier+13.35%final price
DHTfive days earlier+5.12%final price
FROthat day-0.13%final price
FROthe next day-3.46%final price
FROtwo days later-4.23%final price
FROthree days later-2.34%final price
FROthree days earlier+12.33%final price
FROfive days earlier+6.79%final price
INSWthat day-2.81%final price
INSWthe next day-7.38%final price
INSWtwo days later-7.46%final price
INSWthree days later-1.59%final price
INSWthree days earlier+10.51%final price
INSWfive days earlier+5.96%final price
JPMthat day+1.23%final price
JPMthe next day-0.61%final price
JPMtwo days later-0.07%final price
JPMthree days later-0.12%final price
JPMthree days earlier-1.20%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.76%final price
MATXthat day-1.02%final price
MATXthe next day-2.34%final price
MATXtwo days later+0.16%final price
MATXthree days later-0.89%final price
MATXthree days earlier-0.81%final price
MATXfive days earlier-4.66%final price
TNKthat day-0.23%final price
TNKthe next day-2.41%final price
TNKtwo days later-2.57%final price
TNKthree days later-1.21%final price
TNKthree days earlier+9.63%final price
TNKfive days earlier+9.47%final price
USOthat day+2.82%final price
USOthe next day+2.25%final price
USOtwo days later+2.14%final price
USOthree days later+1.55%final price
USOthree days earlier-2.69%final price
USOfive days earlier-5.77%final price
XLEthat day+2.53%final price
XLEthe next day+1.88%final price
XLEtwo days later+2.11%final price
XLEthree days later+2.40%final price
XLEthree days earlier+0.95%final price
XLEfive days earlier-2.22%final price
XOMthat day+2.45%final price
XOMthe next day+2.00%final price
XOMtwo days later+1.81%final price
XOMthree days later+1.92%final price
XOMthree days earlier-0.37%final price
XOMfive days earlier-3.27%final price
ZIMthat day-1.07%final price
ZIMthe next day-1.83%final price
ZIMtwo days later-1.30%final price
ZIMthree days later-1.27%final price
ZIMthree days earlier+3.10%final price
ZIMfive days earlier+1.56%final price
SPY
XLE

Energy

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. ยง 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

โ€œ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Oil is above $100, but the real danger may be what happens to diesel I had an interesting conversation with financial analyst David Lin about what oil markets are telling us as tensions with Iran rise again. Brent is trading around $107 a barrel, and I'm trโ€ scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.