Geopolitics Alpha

Oil prices approach Iran-war highs as soaring tanker rates trigger a second energy squeeze

Published . Updated .

ENERGYOil prices approach Iran-war highsas soaring tanker rates trigger asecond energy squeezeGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

Wall Street may be starting to price in the scenario everyone fears: a full-scale regional conflict that could further choke off global energy supplies and unleash a fresh wave of turmoil across financial markets.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline+1.5%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund+0.9%

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+4.9%

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+4.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping-1.9%

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • DAL Delta Air Lines-0.7%

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO+2.38%-1.82%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
INSW+1.36%-3.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHT-2.28%-3.23%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TNK+1.72%-0.66%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO-0.46%-1.11%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+0.97%+0.55%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LMT-6.43%-7.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
RTX-0.33%-0.66%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ZIM+0.53%+0.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DAL-4.91%-3.24%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Wall Street may be starting to price in the scenario everyone fears: a full-scale regional conflict that could further choke off global energy supplies and unleash a fresh wave of turmoil across financial markets.

Source: MarketWatch

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DALthree days earlier-3.24%final price
DALfive days earlier-4.91%final price
DHTthree days earlier-3.23%final price
DHTfive days earlier-2.28%final price
FROthree days earlier-1.82%final price
FROfive days earlier+2.38%final price
INSWthree days earlier-3.49%final price
INSWfive days earlier+1.36%final price
LMTthree days earlier-7.02%final price
LMTfive days earlier-6.43%final price
RTXthree days earlier-0.66%final price
RTXfive days earlier-0.33%final price
TNKthree days earlier-0.66%final price
TNKfive days earlier+1.72%final price
USOthree days earlier-1.11%final price
USOfive days earlier-0.46%final price
XLEthree days earlier+0.55%final price
XLEfive days earlier+0.97%final price
ZIMthree days earlier+0.29%final price
ZIMfive days earlier+0.53%final price

Energy

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“Oil prices approach Iran-war highs as soaring tanker rates trigger a second energy squeeze” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.