Geopolitics Alpha

Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress

Published . Updated .

Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress

US President Donald Trump has reportedly pushed for more negotiations with Iran.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+14.2% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%base-5.78%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%base-1.71%after closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%base-1.98%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%base-1.36%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY+0.13%-1.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP-1.71%-3.24%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FRO-2.94%-2.39%base-5.58%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress Semafor

Source: Semafor

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier-3.24%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier-1.71%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.36%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Frontline (FRO)that day-5.58%still updating
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier-2.39%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier-2.94%final price
OXYthree days earlier-1.75%final price
OXYfive days earlier+0.13%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-5.78%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-1.71%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-1.98%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 2 Nov 2026, “Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Oil prices down on hopes of Gulf talks progress” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.