Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery
Published . Updated .
Brent crude oil rose 2% to $111.38 a barrel. Prices rose after an attack on a major Saudi Arabian refinery by Iran-backed Houthi rebels this week.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+4.8% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.5% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+54.8% 19d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- KSA iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF-7.0% 30d
iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“saudi”).
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+9.0% 13d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+7.9% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d
Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -2.37% | +3.62% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -0.12% | +1.60% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CRAKNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KSANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.00% | +1.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -0.66% | +2.17% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | -0.04% | +2.28% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery Transport Topics
Source: Transport Topics
18 earlier Red Sea stories for United States Oil Fund (USO)
Those 18 earlier stories put United States Oil Fund (USO) at an average move of -0.67% the next day. Largest gain -0.66%, largest drop -0.68%, from 4 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | the next day | -0.67% | -0.66% | -0.68% | 4 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days later | +2.92% | +5.37% | +0.46% | 4 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | the next day | +0.05% | +0.52% | -0.55% | 16 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days later | +0.84% | +2.31% | -0.96% | 16 |
- Qatar LNG Cargo Makes Rare Red Sea Journey to Get Gas to Europe
- The Week in Charts: North Korean ghost voyages expose gaps in sanctions monitoring | Chinese operators lead surge in Red Sea and Suez vehicle carrier transits
- Brent Crude Hits Five-Month High as Houthi Attack Claims Raise Oil Supply Concerns
- Oil holds near five-month high as Hormuz, Houthi attacks threaten supply recovery
- Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Houthis Target Saudi Oil, Can WTI Break $99.72?
- Oil near $110 after Houthi attack claims and Iranian threats
Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +2.17% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | +2.28% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -0.04% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +3.62% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -2.37% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +1.60% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | -0.12% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +1.85% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | -1.00% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Where this story sits: Red Sea
Geopolitics Alpha has 95 stories about Red Sea from the past 7 days and 196 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery” is tagged to Red Sea.
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery.” Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
From Red Sea to United States Oil Fund (USO)
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery,” the 28 Oct 2026 Red Sea story.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 163.62. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.23.
How solid “Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery” looks
46 out of 100
“Oil prices increase after attack on Saudi refinery” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.