Geopolitics Alpha

Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war

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Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war

Renewed diplomatic contacts ease pressure on energy markets, although Goldman Sachs warns Brent crude could hit $140 per barrel in 2027

Directly affected

  • GS Goldman Sachs Group-6.8% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
GS-0.08%+3.61%base+2.27%after closeafter closeafter close
USO-1.54%-1.29%base-5.78%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%base-1.71%after closeafter closeafter close
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%base-1.98%after closeafter closeafter close
CVXNo price data for this ticker———————
OXYNo price data for this ticker———————
COPNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war Türkiye Today

Source: Türkiye Today

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 2 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
GSthat day+2.27%still updating
GSthree days earlier+3.61%final price
GSfive days earlier-0.08%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-5.78%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-1.71%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-1.98%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    For “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war” (2 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 209.72. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Oil prices plunge more than 4% as US-Iran talks raise hopes of ending war” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.