Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, TIP, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: USO +2.4% on the day (still updating); XLE +1.6% on the day (still updating); COP +1.4% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYOil Prices Rebound Amid SupplyRisks, CPI Data Limits GainsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and inflation and prices. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.4% 19d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+3.3% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+1.1% 9d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+2.78%+4.95%base+2.37%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.11%-0.95%base+1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.74%+0.94%base-0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+3.07%+0.89%base+1.25%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+2.73%+0.67%base+0.78%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.96%+0.52%base+1.36%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+4.68%+1.86%base+0.63%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT+2.97%-0.02%base-1.30%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains GuruFocus

Source: GuruFocus

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 11 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)that day+1.36%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.52%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.96%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+0.78%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+0.67%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+2.73%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day+0.63%still updating
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+1.86%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+4.68%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.05%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.94%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+2.37%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+4.95%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+2.78%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-1.30%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-0.02%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+2.97%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.57%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.11%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.25%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+0.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+3.07%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains,” the 11 Nov 2026 Energy story.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Oil Prices Rebound Amid Supply Risks, CPI Data Limits Gains” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.