Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict
Published . Updated .
Renewed diplomatic efforts to end the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran pushed oil prices lower
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+2.7% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+5.6% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+70.4% 19d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.2% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-1.2% 13d
iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.8% 12d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+6.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+3.7% 19d
Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -3.36% | -2.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.42% | -2.96% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ITANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EISNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -3.61% | -3.44% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| OXYNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict CNBC
Source: CNBC
United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -2.27% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -3.36% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | -2.96% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | -2.42% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | -3.44% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | -3.61% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 88 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Where this story sits: Middle East
Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict” is tagged to Middle East.
Who gains and who pays if Middle East stays in the story
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
From Middle East to United States Oil Fund (USO)
The 27 Oct 2026 story “Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Middle East.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 166.26. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.64. XOM traded between 164.06 and 184.58 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 184.54.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Oil prices seesaw amid renewed diplomatic efforts to end Mideast conflict” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.