Geopolitics Alpha

Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?

Published . Updated .

Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?

Oklahoma produces a lot of oil, but drivers still pay market price at the pump — and those higher costs could shape how voters feel at the polls.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-11.6% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • LNG Cheniere Energy+20.1% 30d

    Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UNGNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP-1.71%-3.24%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————
LNGNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms? KOCO

Source: KOCO

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COPthree days earlier-3.24%final price
COPfive days earlier-1.71%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    In “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    For “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?,” Cheniere Energy (LNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    In “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?,” Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • KMI Kinder Morgan

    Kinder Morgan (KMI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?.” Reason on file: Kinder Morgan (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?” (1 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.08. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Oil-rich Oklahoma isn’t immune to rising gas prices. Will it matter in the midterms?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.