Geopolitics Alpha

Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: The Mighty 790 KFGO, Reuters.

Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 1. How we rate outlets

ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZOil set for fourth monthly gain asHormuz tanker attack highlightssupply risks from warGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like FRO and DHT typically gain because frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+7.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.2% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+25.1% 18d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-2.9% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+2.8% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • INSW International Seaways+1.5% 9d

    International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+0.80%-2.73%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+0.88%-0.71%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
FRO-6.45%-4.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHT-2.07%-3.81%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
INSW-2.50%-1.98%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TNK-1.93%-3.00%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war The Mighty 790 KFGO

Source: The Mighty 790 KFGO

16 earlier Strait of Hormuz stories for United States Oil Fund (USO)

Across 16 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged +4.65%. The largest gain was +6.10% and the largest drop was +1.13%, from 16 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+4.65%+6.10%+1.13%16
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+2.80%+5.08%+2.22%16
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+0.97%+1.70%-0.95%16
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+0.76%+2.31%+0.18%16

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DHT Holdings (DHT)three days earlier-3.81%final price
DHT Holdings (DHT)five days earlier-2.07%final price
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier-4.89%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier-6.45%final price
International Seaways (INSW)three days earlier-1.98%final price
International Seaways (INSW)five days earlier-2.50%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)three days earlier-3.00%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)five days earlier-1.93%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.73%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+0.80%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.71%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+0.88%final price

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 123 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 366 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • FRO Frontline

    For “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war,” Frontline (FRO) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (DHT) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war.” Reason on file: DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • INSW International Seaways

    International Seaways (INSW) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war.” Reason on file: International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    In “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war,” Teekay Tankers (TNK) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war,” the 30 Oct 2026 Strait of Hormuz story.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 166.69. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.46.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100

“Oil set for fourth monthly gain as Hormuz tanker attack highlights supply risks from war” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.