Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports
Published . Updated .
Covered by 2 outlets: Euronext Markets: Real-time Stock Market Data | live, The Lufkin Daily News.
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By Shadia Nasralla LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Oil prices were set for a sharp weekly fall after the midterm election losses of US President Donald Trump's Republican Party raised
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-0.9% 18d
iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“london”).
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BP BP p.l.c+8.6% 11d
BP p.l.c (petroleum refining, with business in the UK): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+5.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+3.9% 19d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +13.96% | +6.75% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +13.47% | +8.12% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EWUNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | +13.27% | +7.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CVX | +10.62% | +5.78% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports Euronext Markets: Real-time Stock Market Data | live
Source: Euronext Markets: Real-time Stock Market Data | live
Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +5.78% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +10.62% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +6.75% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +13.96% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +8.12% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +13.47% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +7.37% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +13.27% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Middle East, seven days against thirty
Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports” is tagged to Middle East.
Who collects and who pays in energy
The side that tends to collect
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 6 Nov 2026 story “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
For “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
On 6 Nov 2026, “Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Middle East.
The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 145.42. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70. XOM traded between 167.40 and 188.47 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.46.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
54 out of 100
“Oil set for sharp weekly drop after US midterms raise hopes of more Mideast crude exports” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 6 linked companies.