Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Brent fell 3.6% to $94 as Qatar’s prime minister took an Iranian Hormuz proposal to the White House, extending last week’s 16% slide in oil prices.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: USO −3.9% on the day; XLE +0.6% on the day; BWET −13.6% on the day

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Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump

Brent fell 3.6% to $94 as Qatar’s prime minister took an Iranian Hormuz proposal to the White House, extending last week’s 16% slide in oil prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • QAT iShares MSCI Qatar ETF

    iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“qatar”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.62%-2.06%base-3.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%base+0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.08%+5.02%base-13.59%after closeafter closeafter close
QAT-3.28%-0.51%base—after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%base-0.67%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+7.15%+2.05%base-1.18%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY+7.63%+1.63%base-1.10%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+7.74%+0.44%base-1.29%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

Source: Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

18 earlier Strait of Hormuz stories for United States Oil Fund (USO)

In the last 18 similar stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) moved an average of -6.14% the next day. The best was -3.69% and the worst was -6.32%, from 15 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-6.14%-3.69%-6.32%15
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-11.52%-1.37%-12.25%15
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-4.35%-1.51%-4.71%9
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-10.24%-0.87%-11.87%9
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-10.37%-10.37%-10.37%17
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-28.03%-28.03%-28.03%17
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)the next day-4.96%-1.64%-5.21%14
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days later-10.85%-0.44%-11.72%13

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 9 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-13.59%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+5.02%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.08%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.29%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+7.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.05%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+7.15%final price
OXYthat day-1.10%final price
OXYthree days earlier+1.63%final price
OXYfive days earlier+7.63%final price
QATthree days earlier-0.51%final price
QATfive days earlier-3.28%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-3.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.67%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Strait of Hormuz, seven days against thirty

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 172 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 648 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump.” Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

What Strait of Hormuz means for United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 9 Nov 2026, “Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Strait of Hormuz.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Oil Sinks to $94 as Iran's $8 Billion Hormuz Deal Heads to Trump” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.