Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts

Published . Updated .

ENERGYOil Stays High, Gold Slides andTreasuries Rally as the Cost ofGrowth MountsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and gold.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3% 30d

    SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “treasuries” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • NEM Newmont-13.4% 30d

    Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • AEM Agnico Eagle Mines-7.6% 30d

    Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%base-5.78%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%base-1.71%after closeafter closeafter close
GLDNo price data for this ticker———————
TLTNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%base-1.98%after closeafter closeafter close
NEMNo price data for this ticker———————
CVX-1.54%-2.69%base-1.36%after closeafter closeafter close
AEMNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts SoSoValue

Source: SoSoValue

The price since 2 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.36%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-5.78%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-1.71%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-1.98%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    In “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “treasuries” (US interest rates) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • NEM Newmont

    In “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” Newmont (NEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • AEM Agnico Eagle Mines

    In “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts,” the 2 Nov 2026 Energy story.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

GLD traded between 373.41 and 400.78 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Oil Stays High, Gold Slides and Treasuries Rally as the Cost of Growth Mounts” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.