Geopolitics Alpha

Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: Central Oregon Daily, The Lufkin Daily News.

Key takeaways

  • By Arathy Somasekhar HOUSTON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices tumbled more than $4 a barrel on Wednesday in volatile trading as investors awaited Washington's next move in the US-Israeli
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, ITA, BWET, XOM
  • Market reaction: XLE −5.6% on the day (still updating); USO −4.8% on the day (still updating); BWET −13.7% on the day (still updating)

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Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep

By Arathy Somasekhar HOUSTON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices tumbled more than $4 a barrel on Wednesday in volatile trading as investors awaited Washington's next move in the US-Israeli

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-4.5% 11d

    iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-4.77%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%base-5.59%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-4.02%-3.08%base-3.01%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+7.18%+11.56%base-13.73%after closeafter closeafter close
EIS+2.68%-0.28%base-2.31%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%base-4.87%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+1.76%+4.58%base-4.10%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY+4.03%+5.88%base-3.82%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep Central Oregon Daily

Source: Central Oregon Daily

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-13.73%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+11.56%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+7.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-4.10%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+4.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+1.76%final price
EISthat day-2.31%still updating
EISthree days earlier-0.28%final price
EISfive days earlier+2.68%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-3.01%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-3.08%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-4.02%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)that day-3.82%still updating
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)three days earlier+5.88%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)five days earlier+4.03%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-4.77%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-5.59%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-4.87%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    In “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep,” the 4 Nov 2026 Energy story.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100Price not final

“Oil tumbles as investors weigh end to Iran war after US Democrats' midterm elections sweep” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.