Geopolitics Alpha

One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The Ryazan oil refinery accounts for nearly 5% of Russia's refinery throughput
  • Exposed: CRAK, XLE, USO, UNG, VLO
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike

The Ryazan oil refinery accounts for nearly 5% of Russia's refinery throughput

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-16.0% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+3.1% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+8.7% 11d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+7.9% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAK+4.46%+3.83%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO+15.71%+7.84%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UNG-1.02%-2.91%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VLO+5.34%+4.45%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MPC+10.19%+9.67%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
PSX+5.36%+5.91%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.08%+6.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike TVP World

Source: TVP World

Price since this story was published: Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)three days earlier+3.83%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)five days earlier+4.46%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)three days earlier+9.67%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)five days earlier+10.19%final price
Phillips 66 (PSX)three days earlier+5.91%final price
Phillips 66 (PSX)five days earlier+5.36%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-2.91%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-1.02%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.84%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+15.71%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)three days earlier+4.45%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)five days earlier+5.34%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+5.85%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+8.14%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+6.08%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.08%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike.” Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    In “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike.” Reason on file: Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • PSX Phillips 66

    Phillips 66 (PSX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike.” Reason on file: Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

The 5 Nov 2026 story “One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike” names Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) because of this story.

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is on the page because VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

The price range for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK), and the dates in the story

USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How strong the case is around Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

46 out of 100

“One of Russia's key refineries on fire after Ukrainian strike” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.